SitiWanMahani - Celente: lakonan penutupan Kerajaan,
penggubal undang-undang Amerika Syarikat drama permaisuri. Yang ‘penting’
perkhidmatan persekutuan akan terus bekerja walaupun penutupan. Gerald Celente,
penerbit Trend jurnal, kata hati gembar-gembur itu - amaran kejatuhan telah
sangat-sangat dibesar-besarkan.
Celente: Govt shutdown
theatrics, US lawmakers drama queens. The ‘essential’ federal services will
continue working despite the shutdown. Gerald Celente, publisher of the Trends
journal, says careful of the hype - the warnings of a collapse have been
strongly exaggerated.
10 WAYS GOVT SHUTDOWN WILL HURT
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10 Cara Penutupan KERAJAAN akan menyakiti
AMERIKA
Dengan ancaman penutupan
kerajaan persekutuan bergantung di atas ekonomi Amerika Syarika, di sini adalah
senarai berguna kemungkinan kesan rakyat Amerika dan seluruh DUNIA boleh
menghadapi jika tiada perjanjian dicapai untuk meneruskan pembiayaan.
Dalam perkembangan terkini
dalam pertempuran bajet, Amerika Syarikat Senat Demokrat telah menolak cadangan
oleh Dewan Republikan yang diterajui Rakyat ditangguhkan ObamaCare selama
setahun sebagai balasan untuk pembiayaan sementara kerajaan persekutuan di luar
hari ini.
Walaupun mengamalkan perbelanjaan
bil oleh Oktober 1, permulaan tahun fiskal yang baru di Amerika Syarikat,
mungkin kelihatan satu isu politik semata-mata, jika Kongres gagal untuk
meluluskan pembiayaan untuk kerajaan persekutuan ini dengan serius akan menjejaskan
rutin harian rakyat Amerika, sehingga 800,000 pekerja persekutuan yang akan
dihantar pulang Selasa tanpa gaji jika penutupan berlaku.
Penutupan kerajaan lepas
berlangsung 21 hari, dari Disember 1996 hingga Januari 1997, dan kos
pentadbiran Presiden Amerika Syarikat Bill Clinton kos kira-kira $ 2 bilion,
menurut Pejabat White House Pengurusan dan Belanjawan.
Dalam ucapan yang dibuat oleh
Obama petang Isnin Presiden melanda nota ingkar kepada undang-undang penjagaan
kesihatan.
“Satu bahagian penting dalam
Akta Penjagaan Mampu berkuat kuasa esok, tidak kira apa Kongres memutuskan
untuk lakukan hari ini. Akta Penjagaan Mampu bergerak ke hadapan. Itu
pembiayaan sudah di tempat. Anda tidak boleh menutupnya.”
Dalam satu lagi kata-kata tajam
yang bertujuan untuk mengikat Republikan ObamaCare penutupan kerajaan Presiden
dasarnya dituduh ahli parlimen daripada ugut politik.
“Anda tidak mendapat untuk
mendapatkan wang tebusan untuk melakukan kerja anda, untuk melakukan apa yang
anda sepatutnya lakukan walau bagaimanapun, atau hanya kerana ada undang-undang
yang ada yang anda tidak suka.”
1, Undur untuk ramalan lalai Amerika Syarikat
Menghentikan operasi kerajaan Amerika
Syarikat akan mengheret ekonomi terbesar DUNIA lebih dekat dengan kebankrapan,
sesuatu yang belum pernah berlaku dalam sejarah Amerika Syarikat. Jika tiada
perjanjian anggaran dilakukan, Amerika Syarikat akan bertemu menentang “hutang Siling”
mereka dan kehabisan wang sebanyak 17 Oktober ini. Pada masa itu, kerajaan Amerika
Syarikat akan mempunyai kurang daripada $ 30 bilion tunai di tangan, Setiausaha
Perbendaharaan Yakub Lew telah mengira.
2, Beratus-ratus beribu-ribu pekerja persekutuan
pada perlop
‘layoff’ satu masa sebanyak
800,000 orang yang bekerja untuk kerajaan Amerika Syarikat akan menghakis
pertumbuhan ekonomi yang lebih awal unjuran 2.5% peratus bagi suku yang ke-4
tahun 2013 sebanyak 0.32 mata % peratusan, menurut ramalan oleh Mark Zandi,
ketua ekonomi dan pengasas bersama Moody Analytics. Itulah unjuran menganggap
penutupan 2 minggu. Jika ia menghiret ke seluruh bulan, kehilangan KDNK akan
meningkat kepada 1.4 mata % peratusan.
3, Paychecks Askar ‘berhenti’
Kira 1.4 juta kakitangan
tentera aktif-tugas akan terus bekerja, tetapi dengan gaji mereka ditangguhkan.
Kelulusan ‘paychecks’ tentera ‘adalah bergantung kepada cadangan 2014
belanjawan persekutuan Obama yang diluluskan oleh Kongres.
4, Wanita dan program pemakanan kanak-kanak
terancam
Wanita hamil dan ibu-ibu baru
yang miskin dan menghadapi “risiko pemakanan yang” tidak akan dapat membeli
makanan yang sihat, sebagai penutupan menjulang akan meletakkan bracers pada $6
billion Program Pemakanan Tambahan Khas untuk Wanita Bayi dan Kanak-kanak (WIC).
5, $ 85
bilion pada lukanya untuk program persekutuan
Apabila penutupan kali terakhir
terancam pada Mac 2013, ia akan menghasilkan $ 85 bilion pada luka automatik
dalam perbelanjaan program persekutuan - banyak bertujuan untuk mengurangkan
kesusahan sosial. Luka, dikenali sebagai penyerapan, akan memberi kesan kepada
geran kepada organisasi tempatan dan dana yang menyimpan program yang berjalan.
6, Pinjaman perumahan dihentikan
Program persekutuan Amerika
Syarikat yang menyediakan kira-kira 30% peratus daripada semua pinjaman baru
dalam pasaran perumahan - satu tulang belakang kepada ekonomi negara - akan
ditutup. Pembiayaan kerajaan perniagaan baru juga akan dihentikan, serta
kesihatan di tempat kerja dan pemeriksaan keselamatan.
7, Ceramah Perdagangan ‘merosakkan’ ?
Amerika Syarikat merancang
untuk mempunyai perjanjian perdagangan Pasifik, Trans Pacific Partnership, yang
ditandatangani dengan rakan-rakan Asia Amerika Syarikat boleh terhenti, kerana
Obama boleh memutuskan untuk tidak pergi ke Bali, Indonesia mesyuarat hujung
minggu ini di Asia Pasifik negara-negara Kerjasama Ekonomi. Walaupun dia masih
boleh pergi jika ada masalah yang dilakukan oleh itu, ia boleh menjadi hadiah
untuk lawan Republikan beliau jika Obama dilihat sebagai jet pergi ke syurga
tropika ketika pekerja persekutuan dihantar pulang tanpa gaji.
8, Kelewatan Visa mungkin
Beribu-ribu rakyat Amerika
mungkin tidak mampu untuk mendapatkan pasport untuk perjalanan asing, dan
pelancong perjalanan ke Amerika Syarikat mungkin akan menghadapi kelewatan
dalam pemprosesan visa. Semasa penutupan kerajaan lalu di 1996-1997, beberapa
20,000-30,000 aplikasi kekal diproses setiap hari.
9, Program Space ditahan
Agensi angkasa lepas NASA akan
melanda kebanyakan, sebagai agensi perlu perlop kira-kira 97% peratus daripada
pekerja, walaupun ia akan terus mengekalkan pekerja-pekerja di Kawalan Misi di
Houston dan tempat lain untuk menyokong Stesen Angkasa Antarabangsa, di mana
kedua-dua angkasawan NASA kini di atas kapal, Michael Hopkins dan Karen Nyberg,
mungkin tidak tahu sama ada mereka mempunyai pekerjaan apabila ia kembali.
10, Taman-taman Negara, Muzium dan ZOO akan
ditutup
kepada orang ramai . . .
Muzium negeri yang dibiayai ,
galeri seni dan zoo di seluruh negara akan menjaga pintu mereka ditutup Selasa,
meninggalkan beribu-ribu pekerja furloughed dan pengunjung dapat melihat
tarikan. Taman negara Amerika Syarikat, dari Yosemite kepada Shenandoahs, serta
Mall Negara Washington, Lincoln Memorial dan Perlembagaan Gardens, juga akan
ditutup.
AFP Photo/Getty Images/Mario
Tama (think IN pictures @1WORLDCommunity)
10 ways govt shutdown will hurt America
With the threat of a federal
government shutdown hanging over the US economy, here is a handy list of the
possible effects American citizens and the rest of the world could face if no
deal is reached to continue funding.
In the most recent developments
in a budget battle, the US Senate Democrats have rejected a proposal by the
Republican-led House of Representatives to put off Obamacare for a year in
return for temporary funding of the federal government beyond Monday.
Though adopting spending bills
by Oct. 1, the start of the new fiscal year in the US, may seem a purely
political issue, if Congress fails to approve funding for the federal
government this would seriously affect the daily routine of ordinary US
citizens, let alone up to 800,000 federal employees who would be sent home
Tuesday without pay if the shutdown takes place.
The last government shutdown
lasted 21 days, from December 1996 to January 1997, and cost the administration
of US President Bill Clinton cost an estimated $2 billion, according to the
White House’s Office of Management and Budget.
In remarks made by Obama Monday
evening the President struck a defiant note on the healthcare law.
"An important part of the
Affordable Care Act takes effect tomorrow, no matter what Congress decides to
do today. The Affordable Care Act is moving forward. That funding is already in
place. You can't shut it down."
In another pointed remark aimed
at Republicans tying Obamacare to the government shutdown the President
essentially accused lawmakers of political blackmail.
"You don't get to extract
a ransom for doing your job, for doing what you're supposed to be doing anyway,
or just because there's a law there that you don't like."
1, Countdown to US default looms
A halt of US government
operations would drag the world’s biggest economy closer to bankruptcy,
something unprecedented in US history. If no budget deal is done, the US would
bump up against their “debt ceiling” and
run out of money by October 17. By then, the US government would have less than
$30 billion cash on hand, Treasury Secretary Jacob Lew has calculated.
2, Hundreds of thousands of federal employees on
furlough
A one-time layoff of 800,000
people working for the US government would erode the earlier projected economic
growth of 2.5 percent for the fourth quarter of 2013 by about 0.32 percentage
points, according to a forecast by Mark Zandi, chief economist and co-founder
of Moody's Analytics. That projection assumes a two-week shutdown. If it drags
into a whole month, the loss of GDP would rise to 1.4 percentage points.
3, Troops’ paychecks stopped
About 1.4 million military
active-duty personnel would keep on working, but with their paychecks delayed.
Approval for troops’ paychecks is dependent on Obama’s proposed 2014 federal
budget being passed by Congress.
4, Women and children’s nutrition program
threatened
Pregnant women and new moms who
are poor and facing “nutrition risk” won’t be able to buy healthy food, as a
looming shutdown would put bracers on the $6 billion Special Supplemental
Nutrition Program for Women Infants and Children (WIC).
5, $85 billion in cuts to federal programs
When a shutdown was last
threatened in March 2013, it would have resulted in $85 billion in automatic
cuts in spending on federal programs – many aimed at alleviating social
hardship. The cuts, known as sequestration, would affect grants to local
organizations and funds that keep those programs running.
6, Housing loans halted
US federal programs that
provide for about 30 percent of all new loans in the housing market – a
backbone of the country’s economy – will be shut down. Government funding of
new businesses will also be halted, as well as workplace health and safety
inspections.
7, Trade talks scuppered ?
US plans to have a Pacific
trade deal, the Trans Pacific Partnership, signed with the US’s Asian partners
could stall, as Obama may decide not to travel to this weekend’s Bali,
Indonesia meeting of the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation nations. While he
could still go if no deal is done by then, it could be a gift for his
Republican opponents if Obama was seen to be jetting off to a tropical paradise
at a time when federal employees were sent home without pay.
8, Visa delays likely
Thousands of Americans may not
be able to get passports for foreign travel, and tourists travelling to the US
will likely face delays in visa processing. During the last government shutdown
in 1996-97, some 20,000-30,000 applications remained unprocessed daily.
9, Space program on hold
Space agency NASA will be hit
the most, as the agency will need to furlough about 97 percent of its
employees, though it will continue to keep workers at Mission Control in
Houston and elsewhere to support the International Space Station, where the two
NASA astronauts currently on board, Michael Hopkins and Karen Nyberg, may not
know whether they have jobs to come back to.
10, National parks, museums and zoos would close
to the public
State-funded museums, art galleries
and zoos across the country would keep their doors closed Tuesday, leaving
thousands of employees furloughed and visitors unable to see attractions. US
national parks, from Yosemite to the Shenandoahs, as well as Washington’s
National Mall, Lincoln Memorial and Constitution Gardens, would also be closed.
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